Park adjustments and MLEs
Over the past few days, I’ve added two new lines to every player and team splits page. The first shows a park-adjusted line; the second shows a Minor League Equivalency (MLE) line. For park adjustments, I owe thanks to Dan Szymborski, who calculated and posted 2003-05 park factors this past offseason. For MLEs, I’m indebted to Sean Smith, who shared his league factors with me and made including MLEs tremendously easier than it otherwise would’ve been.
I explain in detail my method for park-adjustments here. The short version: my park factors are 50% Dan’s, 50% 2006 (as imprecisely calculated by me), and adjust hits, extra-base hits, home runs, walks, and strikeouts. Because I don’t track pitching or batting runs, earned runs, or RBIs, I don’t do run factors at this time. I came up with 2006 park factors through games of July 29th; I plan on updating them every week or two to gain a bit more accuracy. Because, of course, I have home/road splits, I adjust home and road stats separately.
My MLE method is described here. MLEs shouldn’t be taken too seriously–they are great as an approximation, but are only that.
One note about both of these new stat lines, since a couple of people have already inquired: it’s no accident that at-bats and innings pitched change when lines are park adjusted or league adjusted. In the case of ABs, if a player’s number of walks decreases, his ABs will go up. (Plate appearances are held constant.) For IPs, walks and hits affect the total, as changes in those totals alter the number of outs the pitcher would’ve recorded.
Enjoy the new stats!
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